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Listen and ShareJohn Maynard Keynes 凯恩斯传精点评These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic trainingare the main defect,not only in this bookbut in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writingson Keynes going back over 30 years.I will concentrate on Skidelsky's errorfilled statements concerning Keynes'sA Treatise on Probability(191;TP)and the logical theory of probability. On p.95.讲解逐句对照These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic trainingare the main defect,not only in this bookbut in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writingson Keynes going back over 30 years.I will concentrate on Skidelsky's errorfilled statementsconcerning Keynes'sA Treatise on Probability(191;TP)and the logical theory of probability. On p.95.多学一点concentrate on 集中于,全神贯注于concentrate uponconcentrate on my workconcentrate one's eft on sth.We must concentrate our efts on improving education.concerning 关于This is a proposal concerning the constructionof the new airport.concernedThey called on all departments concerned to take actions.concerned 有关的people concernedSkidelsky conflates the principle of indifferencewith the principle of insufficient reason.They are not the same.Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant,available evidence or factorsinvolved bee equiprobabilities are assigned.Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason,on the other hand,argue that equiprobabilities can be applied in stateswhere no relevant evidence exists.Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning.讲解逐句对照Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifferencewith the principle of insufficient reason.They are not the same.Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant,available evidence or factorsinvolved bee equiprobabilities are assigned.Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason,on the other hand, argue thatequiprobabilities can be applied in stateswhere no relevant evidence exists.Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning.多学一点on the other handon one hand...on the other hand...On one hand, nature is our friend,on the other hand, it will hurt us sometimes.on the other hand 但是butSkidelsky bases his assessmentof Keynes's logical theory of probabilityon the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell.Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessmentsof the TP on four sources:1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurementof probability in chapter III of the TP;) F. Ramsey's 19 book review of the TPin The Cambridge Magazine;3) F.Ramsey's 196 book review of the TP in his ,"Truth and Probability",published in 1931 in a book of s; and) Keynes's page eulogyand very brief review of the book in 1931.讲解逐句对照Skidelsky bases his assessmentof Keynes's logical theory of probabilityon the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell.Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessmentsof the TP on four sources:1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurementof probability in chapter III of the TP;) F. Ramsey's 19 book review of the TPin The Cambridge Magazine;3) F.Ramsey's 196 book review of the TP in his ,"Truth and Probability",published in 1931 in a book of s;and ) Keynes's page eulogyand very brief review of the book in 1931.多学一点base...onbase 基础,根据We should base love on mutual tolerance.base basisbasethe base of monumentbasisthe basis of our cooperation原音重现These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic trainingare the main defect,not only in this bookbut in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writingson Keynes going back over 30 years.I will concentrate on Skidelsky's errorfilled statements concerning Keynes'sA Treatise on Probability(191;TP)and the logical theory of probability. On p.95.Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifferencewith the principle of insufficient reason.They are not the same.Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant,available evidence or factorsinvolved bee equiprobabilities are assigned.Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason,on the other hand,argue that equiprobabilities can be applied in stateswhere no relevant evidence exists.Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning.Skidelsky bases his assessmentof Keynes's logical theory of probabilityon the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell.Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessmentsof the TP on four sources:1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurementof probability in chapter III of the TP;) F. Ramsey's 19 book review of the TPin The Cambridge Magazine;3) F.Ramsey's 196 book review of the TP in his ,"Truth and Probability",published in 1931 in a book of s; and) Keynes's page eulogyand very brief review of the book in 1931. 31。

Step by Step 3000. Book Two. 6. It great to be a champion.Part 1. Warming up.A. Keywords. stand, raise, stretch, swing, touch, bend.Vocabulary. stretch, sideways, rhythm.Youre going to hear some instructions on how to do keep-fit exercises.Listen carefully, write down the important points in each step.Right, everyone. Stand straight. Feet apart. Hands by your sides. Relax. Everybody y?Right. A nice deep breath. Now raise your arms to shoulder height and stretch them out sideways.Good. Now swing you right arm down to touch your left toes.Keep your left arm stretched out.Dont bend your knees. Your legs should be straight. And up straight again.Now your left hand down to touch your right toes. And up again.Everybody happy? Now let do this with a bit of rhythm.Right down, touch your toes, and up. Left down, touch your toes, and up. And again.Right down, touch your toes, and up. Left down, touch your toes, and up. Keep those knees straight.Now keep going until I tell you to stop.B. Keywords. dash, world record, hurdles, gold medal, marathon, high jump, long jump, javelin throw.Vocabulary. dash, hurdle, javelin.Jamaica, Morocco, Bulgaria, Ethiopia,Cuba, Soviet Union, Czech Republic.Youre going to hear some of track and field world records.Complete the chart. Pay special attention to the nationality, the record and the date.1. In track events, Usain Bolt from Jamaica is the fastest man in 0 meters dash.His record is 9.69 seconds, and was set on August th, .. Florence Griffith Joyner from the U.S.A set the record the women 0 meters dash in .9 seconds on July th, 1988.3. The men 00 meters race world record was set by Hicham EI Guerrouj, from Morocco, on July th, 1998.And his record is 3 minutes, 6 seconds.. The fastest woman in the world in 00 meters race is Qu YunXia, from China.Her record is 3 minutes, 50.6 seconds and she set the record on September th, 1993.5. The world record men 1 meters hurdles was set by Dayron Robles, from Cuba, on June th, .The record is .87 seconds.6. The gold medal winner the women 0 meters hurdles is Yordanka Donkova, from Bulgaria.And her record is .1 seconds, that was set on August th, 1988.7. In kilometers race walk men, Vladimir Kanaykin, from Russia is the gold medal winner.His record is 1 hour, minutes, seconds.It was set on September 9th, .8. In kilometers race walk women, the record is 1 hour, 5 minutes and 1 seconds, which was set by Olimpiada Ivanova, from Russia, on August 7th, .9. Who is the world record holder men marathon?It Haile Gebrselassie, from Ethiopia.And his record is hours, minutes, 6 seconds.He set the record on September 30th, .. women marathon, Paula Radcliffe, from Great Britain, holds the record in hours, minutes and 5 seconds.The record was set on April th, .. In field events, Javier Sotomayor, from Cuba, is the man who jumps highest in the world.His record is .5 meters.It was set on July 7th, 1993.. Stefka Kostadinova, from Bulgaria, seized the gold medal women high jump on August 30th, 1987.Her record is . meters.. The world record men long jump owes to Mike Powell, from the USA, whose record is 8.95 meters.He set this record on August 30th, 1991.. The world record women long jump owes to Galina Chistyakova, from the mer Soviet Union, whose record is 7.5 meters.She set this record on June th, 1988.. In the men javelin throw, the world record holder is Jan Zelezny, from Czech Republic.His record is 98.8 meters, which was set on May 5th, 1996.. Osleidys Menendez, from Cuba, is the world record holder the women javelin throw.Her record is 71.70 meters, which was set on August th, .C. Keywords. happy face, men 1 meters hurdles, world record.Vocabulary. countryman, spirit, Lausanne.Listen to the following news item, and supply the missing inmation.A very happy face on Liu Xiang of China.He broke the men 1 meter hurdles world record at the meet in Lausanne, Switzerland.Liu crossed the finish line in a time of .88 seconds, breaking the old mark he shared with Britain Colin Jackson by three one hundredth of a second.American Dominique Arnold also broke the old record, but he took second place in .90 seconds.His countryman Terrence Tranmell finished third, . seconds.Jackson originally set the record in 1993, but the -year-old Liu tied it when he became China first ever Olympic spirit gold medalist at the Athens Games. 353583。

Katrina Lessons Applied "卡特里娜"不再 What the government learned from the devastation of Katrina? The question on everyone’s mind as they evacuated inland, I think, was is history about to repeat? We want help! We want help! Gustav hasn't hit yet, but inevitably people will compare the response to this storm to the Katrina response three years ago. Three years ago, the poorest and most vulnerable were left to fend themselves. The hastily improvised shelter at the Superdome was a disaster. People were living on highway bridges days. Some of the sick died in hospital beds and in nursing homes, and the director of FEMA was completely unaware of the situation, the president merely flew over in his airplane. This time, there has been mass exodus. The poorest and most vulnerable had buses and trains at the y.This time the Superdome is a staging area the National Guard. This time the sick and infirm are long gone. This time the director of FEMA was here days ago. And on this day, the president was at FEMA headquarters. He’ll be in Texas tomorrow in New Orleans when conditions permit. We’ll face this emergency together. Everyone is saying here God’s sakes, not another Katrina. We’ll learn in the next couple of days if government learned from its mistakes.Starting this Monday, it's the Republicans' turn to make history and all eyes again turn to Charlie Gibson, Diane Sawyer and George Stephanopoulos the Republican convention starting Monday on A presented with limited commercial by Verizon Wireless.当人们向内陆疏散的时候,我想,他们脑海里闪现的一个问题是:“历史将会重演吗?”“我们需要帮助!我们需要帮助!”飓风古斯塔夫还没有开始袭击,但是人们已经不可避免的拿它来和三年前的飓风卡特里娜造成的影响做比较了三年前,最贫穷和最羸弱的人被留下来自卫房屋顷刻之间就变成一片废墟,那的确是一场灾难人们被迫在高速公路桥上待了好几天有一些病人在医院的病床上和养老院里去世,而联邦应急调查局的人却对形势一无所知,总统也只是乘着专机飞来飞去而这次,已经有了大批的转移,也为穷人和病人准备好了公共汽车和火车应急这次Superdome是国民警卫兵的集结地这次,疾病和虚弱必将远去这次,联邦应急调查局的指挥官几天之前就已经到了这里日前,总统也在联邦应急调查局总部如果形势允许,明天他将会去新奥尔良的得克萨斯我们将一起面对危机每个人都在向上帝祈祷,不要再像卡特里娜一样在未来的几天里,我们将会知晓,政府有没有从他过往的错误里吸取教训 57。

Part 3. Returning to the moon.Keywords. UK, China, the moon, collaborate, Change program, scientific instruments, space station.Vocabulary. robotic, phase, Briton, Apollo , Beagle Probe.Listen to a news report about returning to the moon, complete the news summary and briefly answer the questions you hear.Scientists in the UK have expressed enthusiasm China plans to explore the moon with robotic spacecraft and are keen to take part in the adventure.British scientists are seeking to collaborate with their Chinese counterparts on the Change program.This four-phase program could see the return of astronauts to the moon surface the first time since the Apollo mission in 197.Ties between the Chinese and UK space commy have been strengthened since a visit to China made by a term of British academics, agency officials and space scientists earlier this year.At that time, discussions took place regarding the UK building scientific instruments the second phase of China lunar missions.One British academic who participated in the discussions, Professor John Zarnecki of the Open Univeristy said,;I think they are looking significant collaboration. They have got good technology themselves, but they will admit they are fairly new in space science. So they dont have all of the instrument capabilities and so on.;China has aly established itself as the third space superpower.Having successfully launched two manned spaceflights, last year two Chinese astronauts spent 5 days in orbit bee safely returning to earth.But China space ambitions dont stop there.As well as a lunar landing, plans are being made to set up a permanent space station.The UK, on the other hand, has had a more modest space program.Only a handful of Britons have broken free of the earth atmosphere.Most recently, UK-born astronaut, Piers Sellers spent days on board the American space shuttle Discovery.However, British space exploration has not always gone according to plan.The Beagle probe to Mars disappeared without a trace on Christmas day, .Questions. 1. How many phases are there China Change program?. What is the aim of the Change program?3. What was discussed during UK team visit to China earlier this year?. How many days did the two Chinese astronauts spend in space bee returning to earth?5. How many days did Piers Sellers, the UK-born astronaut spend on board Discovery? 198。

Millions of Americans are too ashamed to get help illiteracy ...to a problem that affects millions of Americans and yet is something of a silent epidemic, that's because the people affected are often hesitant to seek help. The problem is illiteracy. And as our Pierre Thomas reports now, it is an issue that affects people in a myriad of ways. nearly all of her 5 years, Monica Baxley has lived with a crippling secret. "I cried a lot over this when I was alone. " Baxley was functionally illiterate, avoiding the doctor out of fear she would have to fill out a medical m, or a prescription. (Okay) "My health is poor now, but I really believe that's because I never went to the doctor. " It is a life and death issue, and the reason this is that literacy affects your health in so many different ways. The American Medical Association Foundation surveyed patients who could not . This woman signed a m she could not understand, agreeing to a hysterectomy without knowing it. …inside, my mouth fell open, and I thought to myself, how could I be so stupid as to allow somebody to take part of my body, and I didn't know it? It's a tremendous problem when you think about the costs us economically, health-wise.Undiagnosed learning disorders, poverty, unstable home life are all factors contributing to illiteracy. Monica Baxley finally confronted her illiteracy at age , and learned to . But illiteracy persists millions who continue to live with it in the shadows. Pierre Thomas, A News, Chipley Florida WORDS IN THE NEWS 1. hysterectomy : n-countA hysterectomy is a surgical operation to remove a woman's womb.. -wise : comb-wise is added to nouns to m adverbs indicating that something is the case when considering the particular thing mentioned. 65。

听笑话学英语:他什么都没听到He never heard a thing!Working at the post office, I'm used to dealing with a moody public. So when one irate customer stormed my desk, I responded in my calmest voice, "What's the trouble?" "I went out this morning," she began, "and when I came home I found a card saying the mailman tried to deliver a package but no one was home. My husband was in all morning. He never heard a thing!" After apologizing, I got her parcel. "Oh, good," she gushed. "We've been waiting this ages." "What is it?" I asked. "My husband's new hearing aid."我在邮局上班,对于顾客们的各种情绪早已习以为常了所以,有一天当一个生气的顾客气冲冲地来到我的工作台时,我还是非常平静地问她,“有什么问题吗?”“我早上上街了,”女顾客说,“我回到家的时候,我看到一个卡片,卡片说邮递员要给我们家送包裹,但没人在家可是我的丈夫整个早上都在家啊他说他什么都没听到”在表示了歉意之后,我把包裹给了她“噢,太好了”,那位女顾客喜形于色“我们等这东西都等多少年了!”“是什么好东西?”我问 “我丈夫的新助听器” 7。